My New Blog

March 31st, 2008 8:53 AM


This week is light in terms of the number of economic reports scheduled for release, however, two of the three reports that are scheduled to be posted are considered to be of high importance. With important data being posted only Tuesday and Friday, we should see several days of little movement in mortgage pricing.

The first relevant report of the week comes late Tuesday morning when the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) will release their manufacturing index. This index gives us an important measurement of manufacturer sentiment by surveying trade executives. A reading below 50 means more surveyed executives felt business worsened during the month than those who said it had improved. This month's report is expected to show little change from last month's reading of 48.3, meaning business sentiment remained close to last month's level.

February's Factory Orders will be posted early Wednesday morning. This data is similar to last week's Durable G oods Orders report, except that this report includes orders for both durable and non-durable goods. Unless it varies greatly from forecasts of a 0.7% rise, I suspect that it will be a non-event in the mortgage market.

The other important report of the week will be posted Friday morning. The Labor Department will release March's Employment report, giving us the U.S. unemployment rate and the number of jobs added to the economy. This is an extremely important report to the financial and mortgage markets. It is expected to show an increase in the unemployment rate from February's 4.8% to 5.0% and that approximately 40,000 payrolls were lost during the month.

Overall, I expect to see the most movement in rates either Tuesday or Friday. Friday is the most important day of the week with the employment numbers being released, but we will likely see a fair amount of movement in rates Tuesday morning also. In between we should see fairly calm days as long as th e stock markets don't stage significant rallies or a sell-off.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

©Mortgage Commentary 2008

Posted by Scott Batt on March 31st, 2008 8:53 AMPost a Comment (0)

Recent Posts:

Archive:

My Favorite Blogs:

Sites That Link to This Blog:

Flat Branch Home Loan's
Phone: Toll Free Phone:

VA Loan FAQ's | Testimonials | Home | Mortgage Blog

Copyright © 2012 Flat Branch Home Loan's
Portions Copyright © 2012 a la mode, inc.
Another XSite by a la mode, inc. | Admin LoginTerms of UseSite Map